Counting up the deficit
In an election year and
in times of financial crisis, lots of big numbers are thrown at you and
it takes some effort to make sense of them. Try it with the following questions.
(You might consider some of these questions ambiguous or poorly defined.
If you think they need further specification, do it and answer the specific
problem you have stated.)
In 2008 the US Federal Budget was spending
more money providing services than they were taking in taxes. Last year,
the deficit was approximately $300 Billion ($3.0 x 1011).
- Assuming this was divided equally to every man, woman, and child in the
country, what would your share of this deficit have been?
- If someone (Bill Gates?)
decided to pay this shortfall and brought it in $1 bills, how big an
area would they cover if they were laid out on the ground -- touching
but not overlapping? (Compare your result to something we know - a football
field, a city, a state, a country, a planet - whatever seems appropriate.).
- Suppose you put these $1
bills in packages of 100 each and gave them away at the rate of 1 package
every 10 seconds. If you start now, when will you be finished giving
them away?
- Are any of these calculations relevant for a discussion which is trying
to understand whether the deficit is ridiculously large or appropriate
in scale? Explain your reasoning.
The deficit is the amount we are short each year. The National Debt is the
total amount we owe as a result of the accumulation of all previous deficits.
This debt is owed to various holders of government bonds and treasury bills.
(It's actually a bit more complicated than this. Check out Wikipedia for
more detail.) In order to borrow that money, the government has to pay interest
to the bond holders. The current (in 2008) National Debt is about $1013 (10
trillion dollars).
- Assuming this was divided equally to every man, woman, and child in the
country, what would your share of this debt be?
- We have to pay interest on this borrowed money just as if it were a mortgage
or car debt. Assuming a rate of 5% per year, estimate the total interest the
government has to pay each year to maintain this debt.
So how much does it cost each of us to run the federal government? This year's
Federal US budget is about $4 x 1012 (4 trillion
dollars) including "off-budget expenditures". About half of that
goes for various types of entitlement assurance. (Old age assurance = Social
Security, Medical assurance = Medicare + Medicaid)
- About how much is each person paying
for the functioning of the government - supporting the military, regulation
of food, support for the transportation infrastructure, scientific research
(a very small part!)?
(Here's
a web site to explore the US budget numbers!)
Page last modified
September 5, 2008: G18